Since the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine, the international oil price has been breaking new highs again and again in several years, and the price of diesel in my country has also exceeded 8 yuan. The high oil price, low freight, and frowning drivers, no matter what goes up, the freight will not come up. What the hell is going on?
90% of retail investors are scattered
Around 2010, e-commerce gradually prospered. The increase in parcels, digital home appliances, imported fresh food, and cold chain have greatly promoted the development of the logistics industry. It is not uncommon for a large howo truck driver to earn an annual income of over 100,000 or 200,000. Under the temptation of high income, more and more people began to join the logistics industry.
With more people and more vehicles, the situation of more vehicles and less goods has become more and more serious, and the profits of road transportation have begun to decline significantly. According to statistics, there are about 30 million truck drivers in my country, and the vast majority of them are retail investors.
Being a boss and a worker, the cost is the first
When a retail investor is both a boss and a driver, he has to pay off his car loan and pay his own salary. Under careful planning, buying a car always considers the cheap first, and then discusses the cost-effectiveness.
AMT is labor-saving and easy to use, but it is too expensive to be considered. The liquid is slow and safe, and it is cheaper and more convenient to spray water. As a tool to make money, everyone never considers their own comfort, the car can be installed and run.
And this can also be seen from the slogans of various manufacturers selling cars, and it can also be seen from the financial policies of dealers. When a tractor with a value of 300,000 to 400,000, with the support of financial policies, can drive away with less than 100,000, it is determined that the market is destined to overheat.
As a practitioner, I have also followed many truck drivers to many places. In many places, it is normal to wait for half a day for loading and one day for unloading, and even a few days or even longer. Why wait so long? Because there are so many cars!
What should I do if there are too many cars? In order to increase the competitiveness, it is overloaded. In the past few years, aircraft, large boards, and ultra-long containers have appeared rampant.
Seeing people make money and being jealous, I also join in with the flow, and that's how bad money drives out good money.
Speaking of overloading, let’s take a look at those potholes and national roads and provincial roads. They are either tattered, or they are constantly being repaired all year round.
Then the road administration and traffic police came out to rectify. Everyone always felt that the traffic police and road administration were wolves and kept stopping cars and fines, but overloading chaos was still unavoidable, because without overloading, no money could be made.
There are loans under pressure, and many card friends will take any job, no matter how low the shipping cost. In our own words, more monks and less porridge—the competition is too great.
The cost reduction of father-son car and husband and wife car has become a vicious circle
What if the competition is big? It can only be to reduce the cost, do not invite guys, go to battle with father and son, eat and live in the car, the husband and wife car comes. It's hard work, but you can still earn some money you save.
In order to save money, small gas has become the choice of most drivers;
In order to save money, adding water to the urea tank and shielding urea has become the choice of most drivers.
In order to save money, it is common to buy food and cook it by yourself.
In the sixth stage of the country, the car is more squeamish, the petrol can't be added, and the cheap urea has a torque limit and a speed limit. Why do car friends react so strongly, because the cost of using the car has increased, and the money earned is less.
Various mutual aid groups and mutual aid groups, the card friend group is weak and scattered
On many trucks, you can see the slogan of this kind of team and that kind of team. In the WeChat group of all card friends, you can also see countless mutual help groups.
Why is this happening? Because the group of card friends is extremely weak.
Because the cargo owner is strong, the shipping fee is delayed, the shipping fee is deducted, the car is overwhelmed, and the fuel consumption is rampant. After a trip, people are tired, but they are still frightened and battle wits and courage all the way, and the delivery period of the cargo owner is still long.
No excess, no profit, low freight for overloading, how to solve the dilemma of low freight.
Because they are insecure, they urgently need to find an organization to help each other.
In the face of high oil prices, they cannot discuss freight rates on an equal footing with shippers, and how much they pay.
More cars → less goods → lower freight rates → open source and reduce expenditure: couples’ cars, father-son cars, small gasoline (cost savings) → overloading (more profit) → traffic police fines → continue to exceed more to make up for losses → less freight → lower freight rates → continue to roll in = vicious circle
Whether it is a card friend in Xinfadi, a driver who pulls cement, or a cold chain, coal, or express delivery, everyone almost unanimously agrees: the market is getting worse year by year, there is no goods to pull, and the freight is low. .
Truck sales have continued to rise, breaking one million, breaking 1.5 million, and then cutting in half. During this period, there were people who continued to buy cars, and some people who sold cars and quit the circle. Under the alternation of new and old, the number of truck friends and the number of trucks remained high. run. Retail investors have been waiting for the market to pick up, but the reality is so cruel. It is more difficult for the falling freight to rise back than to climb to the sky. In the face of the low freight market, we can only follow the laws of the market.
